Fasil Ketema vs Adama City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fasil Ketema v Adama City — Team-Based Signals
Fasil Ketema vs Adama City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Fasil Ketema 3-1 Adama City — Actual Match Statistics
Fasil Ketema got the better of Adama City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Fasil Ketema made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fasil Ketema had 42% of the ball to Adama City's 58%, shots finished 9-9.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fasil Ketema and 0.75 for Adama City.
What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Adama City?
Fasil Ketema 3-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Adama City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 36%, draw 32%, Adama City 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.