Polokwane City 1-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.61
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.08/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.40
-32% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.9 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
264 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
23.02.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
15.12.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
19.10.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 2-3 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.58 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
217 Passes 313
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City and Marumo Gallants couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Polokwane City had 45% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 55%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.58 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polokwane City and 1.00 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants?

Polokwane City 1-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 40%, draw 28%, Marumo Gallants 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polokwane City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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