Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 32% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.82/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cheongju FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
352 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
29.06.2025 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
18.05.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 4-1 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
03.11.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
21.05.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
02.03.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2-2
AWAY Cheongju FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
326 Passes 196
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons and Cheongju FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonnam Dragons at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 62% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 38%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 0.83 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC?

Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 44%, draw 25%, Cheongju FC 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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