Albirex Niigata 2-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.99
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 13.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nara Club
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
235 Passes 326
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.03.2026 Nara Club Nara Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
2-1
AWAY Nara Club
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
333 Passes 475
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata nicked a narrow win over Nara Club 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Albirex Niigata as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 44% of the ball to Nara Club's 56%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Nara Club?

Albirex Niigata 2-1 Nara Club in the JAP2-3 on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 52%, draw 23%, Nara Club 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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