Tochigi City 3-0 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.76/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.52
-36% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.03.2026 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi City Tochigi City JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
3-0
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 Passes 236
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tochigi City ran out comfortable winners over Montedio Yamagata 3-0 in the JAP2-3 on 16 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 58% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 42%, shots finished 21-11.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata?

Tochigi City 3-0 Montedio Yamagata in the JAP2-3 on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 43%, draw 23%, Montedio Yamagata 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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