Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Tochigi City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Mar 2026

Montedio Yamagata
1-2 HT 0-1
Tochigi City
📅29/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montedio Yamagata v Tochigi City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 42%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-100% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses 30.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Tochigi City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-2
AWAY Tochigi City
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tochigi City edged past Montedio Yamagata 2-1 away from home in the JAP2-3 on 29 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 62% of the ball to Tochigi City's 38%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Tochigi City in the JAP2-3 on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 36%, draw 25%, Tochigi City 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5
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