Fukushima United 1-3 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.6pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
07.06.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
27.07.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
17.03.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
12.11.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.07.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
1-3
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
73% Ball Possession 27%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
470 Passes 134
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga saw off Fukushima United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Fukushima United had 73% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 27%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fukushima United and 0.67 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Fukushima United 1-3 Matsumoto Yamaga in the JAP2-3 on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 26%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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