Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 48%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+54% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 34.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
525 Passes 186
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
03.05.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
31.10.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
20.03.2021 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
07.11.2020 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 4-1 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
337 Passes 172
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United edged past Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 62% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 38%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.80 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Kagoshima United in the JAP2-3 on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 27%, draw 28%, Kagoshima United 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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