Iwaki 1-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 28%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
164 Passes 300
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Iwaki Iwaki 3-1 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
17.05.2025 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
29.07.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
21.05.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
160 Passes 172
55% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki nicked a narrow win over Jubilo Iwata 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Iwaki had 50% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Iwaki and 1.25 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?

Iwaki 1-0 Jubilo Iwata in the JAP2-3 on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 46%, draw 31%, Jubilo Iwata 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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