Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
1.35/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.26
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 13.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.07.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
21.05.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2-0
AWAY Iwaki
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 Passes 194
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata beat Iwaki 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jubilo Iwata as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 55% of the ball to Iwaki's 45%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 0.50 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Iwaki?

Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 41%, draw 26%, Iwaki 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
17 May 2025
07:30 Ventforet Kofu vs Imabari Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
08:00 JEF United vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →