Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 23%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
0.28/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.06
-84% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 10.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.06.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-2 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
05.06.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JLK
19.10.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
21.06.2014 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
440 Passes 215
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo edged past Kataller Toyama 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Consadole Sapporo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 63% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 37%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 0.75 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Kataller Toyama?

Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 45%, draw 28%, Kataller Toyama 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Consadole Sapporo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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