Mito HollyHock 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +9%
1.61/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.08
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses 19.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 606
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.03.2025 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JLK
17.08.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
12.06.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
06.05.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
06.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
21.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
477 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mito HollyHock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 54% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.67 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Mito HollyHock 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 37%, draw 30%, Roasso Kumamoto 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5
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