Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Aug 2024

Roasso Kumamoto
0-1 HT 0-0
Mito HollyHock
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roasso Kumamoto v Mito HollyHock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.27/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
-8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.06.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
06.05.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
06.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
21.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
26.03.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Mito HollyHock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
606 Passes 233
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mito HollyHock found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 69% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 31%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 38%, draw 28%, Mito HollyHock 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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