Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 31% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.28/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
+13% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
436 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
24.09.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
01.04.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
11.07.2018 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
18.04.2018 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JLK
14.03.2018 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
501 Passes 259
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse cruised past Ventforet Kofu 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 63% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 37%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 0.67 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Ventforet Kofu?

Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 49%, draw 26%, Ventforet Kofu 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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