ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.60/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.62
-39% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -57%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
203 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Yokohama FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 380
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.03.2024 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
16.08.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
01.05.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-3 HT 0-3 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
23.11.2015 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.03.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
06.09.2014 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-2
AWAY Yokohama FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
365 Passes 387
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yokohama FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 48% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.33 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Yokohama FC?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 Yokohama FC in the Japan - J2 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 19%, draw 26%, Yokohama FC 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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