Fujieda MYFC 3-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.27/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.96
+15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
01.07.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.03.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
3-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
363 Passes 392
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC ran out comfortable winners over Renofa Yamaguchi 3-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fujieda MYFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 49% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 51%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 0.67 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Fujieda MYFC 3-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 31%, draw 29%, Renofa Yamaguchi 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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