Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
2.99/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.76
+96% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.03.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2-1
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi edged past Fujieda MYFC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 50% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 50%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fujieda MYFC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.50 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fujieda MYFC?

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 43%, draw 27%, Fujieda MYFC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
19 May 2024
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →
11:00 Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →