Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 May 2024

Fagiano Okayama
2-0 HT 1-0
Ventforet Kofu
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Fagiano Okayama vs Ventforet Kofu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fagiano Okayama v Ventforet Kofu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.36/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.37
-1% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Fagiano Okayama vs Ventforet Kofu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
173 Passes 558
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.06.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
19.03.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-3 HT 2-3 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
09.10.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
20.02.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 4-1 HT 2-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
03.11.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 0-2 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
03.07.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-3 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Ventforet Kofu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama saw off Ventforet Kofu 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 40% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 60%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.50 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Ventforet Kofu?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 39%, draw 29%, Ventforet Kofu 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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