Tochigi SC 1-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.85
6+ Goals
11%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.87/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.12
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 337
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
26.02.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
14.09.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
29.05.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai edged past Tochigi SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 42% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 58%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.50 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai?

Tochigi SC 1-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 26%, draw 26%, Vegalta Sendai 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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