Tokushima Vortis 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -6%
1.00/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.87
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
293 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
384 Passes 242
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-2 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
09.07.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
03.06.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
14.09.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
27.02.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
14.10.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis and Fagiano Okayama shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fagiano Okayama at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 57% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 43%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.00 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama?

Tokushima Vortis 1-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 32%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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