Mito HollyHock 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.26
6+ Goals
10%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.54
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
10%
6.04
X/2
15%
5.09
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.49
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
233 Passes 606
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
12.06.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
06.05.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
06.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
21.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-0
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Roasso Kumamoto at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 50% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 50%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.67 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Mito HollyHock 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - League Cup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 29%, draw 25%, Roasso Kumamoto 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Under 2.5
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