Sagamihara 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
41%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
9.11
1/2
12%
23.0
1/X
8%
18.25
X/1
11%
10.7
X/2
15%
3.88
X/X
11%
5.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
1.99
2/X
9%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+13.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
41%
Away Win
58%
-17.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse saw off Sagamihara 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 39% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 61%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Sagamihara 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - League Cup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 31%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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