Kagoshima United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.80/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.12
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
31.10.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
20.03.2021 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
07.11.2020 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 4-1 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-2
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
186 Passes 525
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto beat Kagoshima United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Roasso Kumamoto found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 33% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 67%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.25 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Kagoshima United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 31%, draw 31%, Roasso Kumamoto 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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