Tochigi SC 2-3 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.08/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.28
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
231 Passes 462
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-2 HT 1-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
26.08.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
13.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
16.10.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-3 HT 2-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
30.03.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
18.09.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
2-3
AWAY Mito HollyHock
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
196 Passes 225
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Mito HollyHock made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 48% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 52%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.50 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Mito HollyHock?

Tochigi SC 2-3 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 38%, draw 28%, Mito HollyHock 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5
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