Iwaki 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.33/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.37
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-1D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
06.08.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
29.04.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
0-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
357 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki beat Iwaki 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; V-Varen Nagasaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Iwaki had 57% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 43%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Iwaki and 1.33 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Iwaki 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 37%, draw 23%, V-Varen Nagasaki 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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