Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matsumoto Yamaga v Fukushima United — Team-Based Signals
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
1-2
HT 1-1
Fukushima United
JAP3
0-1
HT 0-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
1-0
HT 1-0
Fukushima United
JAP3
Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Fukushima United — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga and Fukushima United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 46% of the ball to Fukushima United's 54%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.80 for Fukushima United.
What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?
Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 44%, draw 25%, Fukushima United 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.