Kataller Toyama 2-0 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.64/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.09
-1% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-3 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
23.09.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
26.03.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-3 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
14.08.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
25.06.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
11.09.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-0 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama saw off Parceiro Nagano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 50% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 50%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.50 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Parceiro Nagano?

Kataller Toyama 2-0 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 49%, draw 23%, Parceiro Nagano 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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