Osaka 1-3 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.14/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-21% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
01.10.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 HT 1-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
23.07.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
1-3
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kamatamare Sanuki beat Osaka 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Kamatamare Sanuki found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osaka had 50% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osaka had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osaka and 0.33 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Osaka 1-3 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Osaka 40%, draw 32%, Kamatamare Sanuki 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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