Nara Club 2-3 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -30%
1.26/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.28
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
03.09.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
24.06.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-3
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu edged past Nara Club 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Azul Claro Numazu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nara Club had 41% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 59%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nara Club and 1.67 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Nara Club 2-3 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 39%, draw 26%, Azul Claro Numazu 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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