Ryukyu 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.69/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.30
+31% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
188 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
19.08.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
15.04.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
09.08.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
13.06.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 3-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
21.11.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
0-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Ryukyu 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Giravanz Kitakyushu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ryukyu had 49% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 51%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ryukyu and 0.67 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Ryukyu 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 38%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ryukyu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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