Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.55/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 13.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fukushima United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
17.03.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
12.11.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.07.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
10.09.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
17.07.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1-2
AWAY Fukushima United
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
496 Passes 231
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United nicked a narrow win over Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 64% of the ball to Fukushima United's 36%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.83 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 43%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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