Kagoshima United 3-2 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.78/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.56
+17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Gifu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
18.03.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
13.11.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
12.06.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
25.09.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
27.06.2021 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
3-2
AWAY FC Gifu
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 2
331 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United nicked a narrow win over FC Gifu 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 55% of the ball to FC Gifu's 45%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kagoshima United and 0.83 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs FC Gifu?

Kagoshima United 3-2 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 46%, draw 24%, FC Gifu 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United)
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