Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-2 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.26
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.2 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 228
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
4 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
27.04.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
11.06.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
31.07.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4-2
AWAY Sagamihara
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
253 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki saw off Sagamihara 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 45% of the ball to Sagamihara's 55%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.80 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagamihara?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-2 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 42%, draw 28%, Sagamihara 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Under 2.5
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