Sagamihara 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.06/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
-28% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
11.06.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
31.07.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
0-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
228 Passes 248
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki nicked a narrow win over Sagamihara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Tegevajaro Miyazaki made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 53% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 47%, shots finished 11-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 1.00 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Sagamihara 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 39%, draw 31%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sagamihara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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