Gainare Tottori 3-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.24/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.53
+6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
24.09.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
14.05.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
10.09.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
02.07.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
14.11.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 HT 2-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
3-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
252 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori beat Azul Claro Numazu 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Azul Claro Numazu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 40% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 60%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gainare Tottori and 2.00 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Gainare Tottori 3-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 36%, draw 21%, Azul Claro Numazu 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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