Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.48/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.93
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Osaka
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Osaka Osaka 2-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
22.10.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-2 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
04.06.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0-2
AWAY Osaka
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
271 Passes 186
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka saw off Parceiro Nagano 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 57% of the ball to Osaka's 43%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.67 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka?

Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 39%, draw 26%, Osaka 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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