Ryukyu 1-2 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 21%
-71% / -71% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.22
-100% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
510 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
14.10.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 2-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
11.03.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
06.07.2022 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 0-1 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
05.03.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-2 HT 1-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-2
AWAY Grulla Morioka
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
657 Passes 255
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka nicked a narrow win over Ryukyu 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Ryukyu carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ryukyu had 68% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 32%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ryukyu and 1.20 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Grulla Morioka?

Ryukyu 1-2 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 56%, draw 19%, Grulla Morioka 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ryukyu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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