Tochigi SC 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 32%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.98
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
204 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses 19.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
08.06.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
06.08.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
02.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
04.09.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
12.06.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
0-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 330
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma edged past Tochigi SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 44% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 56%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.83 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Tochigi SC 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 41%, draw 24%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tochigi SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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