Mito HollyHock 0-1 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 May 2026

Mito HollyHock
0-1 HT 0-0
Tokyo Verdy
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Japan - J1 League – 2026

Mito HollyHock vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.55
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mito HollyHock v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
1.42/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.93
-26% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.0 Crosses 15.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Mito HollyHock vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.43 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
442 Passes 342
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2026 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-1 HT 2-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP
29.07.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.04.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-2 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
21.09.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
14.05.2022 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.08.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2

Mito HollyHock 0-1 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
0-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.19 xG 1.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
386 Passes 219
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy squeezed past Mito HollyHock 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mito HollyHock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 61% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.19 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.33 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Tokyo Verdy?

Mito HollyHock 0-1 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 42%, draw 28%, Tokyo Verdy 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mito HollyHock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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