Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
7.01
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.43
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.6
X/1
14%
4.57
X/2
14%
6.58
X/X
15%
3.26
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
12%
5.91
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.2pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 359
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.04.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-2 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
21.09.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
14.05.2022 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.08.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
04.04.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
3-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.10 xG 0.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
328 Passes 524
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy saw off Mito HollyHock 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Tokyo Verdy found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 41% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 59%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 0.83 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Mito HollyHock?

Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 39%, draw 29%, Mito HollyHock 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
8 Feb 2026
07:05 Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
08:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
09:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →