Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Feb 2026

Avispa Fukuoka
1-1 HT 0-1
Fagiano Okayama
📅08/02/2026 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.43
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
21%
4.31
X/2
7%
7.55
X/X
12%
3.42
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
12%
6.92
2/X
6%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.13/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
-27% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.9 Crosses 19.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
210 Passes 439
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
02.12.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
25.07.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
21.09.2019 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
17.05.2015 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Avispa Fukuoka at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 62% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 38%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.50 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 49%, draw 26%, Fagiano Okayama 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
8 Feb 2026
08:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
09:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
10:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →