Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -1%
1.10/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.93
-27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.5 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
439 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
02.12.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
25.07.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
21.09.2019 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
17.05.2015 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
20.07.2014 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-3 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Fagiano Okayama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 51% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 49%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 36%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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