Vissel Kobe 2-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.0pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.08
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.3 Crosses 16.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
20.07.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-3 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
25.11.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
24.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
03.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.52 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
219 Passes 258
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Nagoya Grampus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 49% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 51%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.33 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Vissel Kobe 2-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 46%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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