Albirex Niigata 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.04
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.14
X/2
13%
6.77
X/X
8%
5.15
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
15%
4.63
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.56
+4% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.3 Crosses 18.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
366 Passes 446
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
18.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
15.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 3-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
14.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
16.05.2018 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 2-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.23 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
490 Passes 353
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Albirex Niigata made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 57% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 43%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albirex Niigata and 0.83 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Albirex Niigata 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 40%, draw 24%, Yokohama F. Marinos 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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