Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.41
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
17%
6.76
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
6%
5.47
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.11
2/X
11%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.1pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.60/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.13
+44% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
15.0 Crosses 14.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.84 xG 1.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 4-1 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
08.10.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
28.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-4 HT 2-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
22.02.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
20.07.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-3 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
25.05.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
5-3
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.82 xG 3.82
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 27
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
304 Passes 584
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 59
8 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale beat Kashiwa Reysol 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kawasaki Frontale found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 36% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 64%, shots finished 13-27, expected goals 1.82 to 3.82 — on chances, Kashiwa Reysol could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 2.17 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 39%, draw 22%, Kashiwa Reysol 39%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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