Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.39/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.30
+39% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.9 Crosses 13.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.46 xG 1.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
358 Passes 418
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2026 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
04.10.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
14.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.36 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
348 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 55% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 45%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.36 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 2.00 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 31%, draw 29%, Kashiwa Reysol 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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