Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
7.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.95
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
12%
9.8
X/2
23%
4.14
X/X
9%
5.41
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.08
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.95 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.89/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.53
-28% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +75%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
490 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.06.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-3 HT 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
25.06.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-4
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol swept aside Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 45% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 55%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.33 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - League Cup on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 24%, draw 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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