Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.64/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.57
-22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.6 Crosses 15.9
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 407
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
14.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
3-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
3.07 xG 0.13
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
450 Passes 213
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol cruised past Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 63% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 37%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 3.07 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 55%, draw 21%, Yokohama F. Marinos 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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