V-Varen Nagasaki 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Apr 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-3 HT 0-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -20%
0.73/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.17
-12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
11.7 Crosses 18.4
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.98 xG 2.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
296 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
10.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
01.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
04.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
01.12.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-4 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
11.04.2018 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP

V-Varen Nagasaki 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
0-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.36 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
455 Passes 371
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse swept aside V-Varen Nagasaki 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Shimizu S-Pulse made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 55% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 45%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.36 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.67 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

V-Varen Nagasaki 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 38%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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