Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.51/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.17
+61% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
14.5 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.30 xG 1.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
391 Passes 485
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
07.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
03.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
21.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
24.08.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
03.05.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-2
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.13 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
307 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 40% — and on the day Kawasaki Frontale made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 54% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 46%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.83 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 20%, Urawa Red Diamonds 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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